A Catch-up on German Politics

With under 10 weeks until the German federal election, Primary provides this update on the fortunes of the major parties and their candidates to succeed Angela Merkel as Chancellor. The note starts with analysis of recent polling and extrapolates it into assessments of potential coalitions; the rest of the note looks at two trends – the apparent slip of the Greens in support and the stabilization of the CDU-CSU’s vote under Armin Laschet – and considers how these could develop up to September 26.